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Collins, A., & Michalski, R. (1989). The logic of plausible reasoning: A core theory. cognitive science, 13(1), 1–49. 
Resource type: Journal Article
BibTeX citation key: Collins1989
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Categories: Cognitive Science, Decision Theory, General
Subcategories: Human decisionmaking, Human learning, Situational cognition
Creators: Collins, Michalski
Publisher:
Collection: cognitive science
Attachments  
Abstract

The paper presents a core theory of human plausible reasoning based on analysis of people's answers to everyday questions about the world. The theory consists of three parts:

1. a formal representation of plausible inference patterns; such as deductions, inductions, and analogies, that are frequently employed in answering everyday questions

2. a set of parameters, such as conditional likelihood, typicality, and similarity, that affect the certainty of people's answers to such questions; and

3. a system relating the different plausible inference patterns and the different certainty parameters.

This is one of the first attempts to construct a formal theory that addresses both the semantic and parametric aspects of the kind of everyday reasoning that pervades. all of human discourse.


  
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